Is it a cliche to quote and abuse T.S. Eliot’s poetry?

This is the way the VoIP world ends
Not with a bang, but a whimper

Pulver pretty-much said this two years ago: VoIP is dead.  It became the “draw commodity” I hoped it wouldn’t, due to its promise and unique ability to transform the state of the telecom world.  But the politics of the device makers, carriers, and regulators proved to much, and VoIP became just another “more of the same” transport mechanism. It’s there if you need it–there if you need to draw on it, but not uniquely compelling.

Here are the ten things that prove VoIP is dead:

1. Vonage still hasn’t turned the corner. Further burying themselves in debt (what bank took THAT risk in this crummy credit market, seriously?), there’s just no way out for the pure-play provider.

2. Alec Saunders declared VoIP dead and he has some good reasons why.  (OK, Jeff Pulver, we’ll believe you next time.)

3. Everywhere you look, former VoIP honchos are turning to social media applications as a focus area–from Jeff Pulver to Ken Camp to myself. It’s a trend. Social media is where the opportunity for innovation in unified communications still exists.

4. End-to-end VoIP is never going to be a reality, at least not not under the current competitive structure for telephone companies.

5. VoIP is a tool of application delivery. It does not differentiate the service the way it used to.

6. VoIP companies offering really cool features should’ve made deals to make those features a part of pure-play companies’ service.  This would’ve compelled adoption and brought both types of companies closer to the black. Instead, we saw no joint ventures between pureplays like BroadVoice and “oh that’s neat” players like TalkPlus.   The result–VoIP pure plays were no different from the bundled phone service provided by cablecos and telcos, and the public couldn’t see what the big deal about VoIP was.

7. I stopped consulting on business VoIP some time this year.  In most of the United States, the demand for VoIP in the SMB sector is just not there (despite all the manufactured hype about it).

8. Hosted VoIP PBX as a business model died on the vine. It’s probably not going to get much bigger than it is today. This isn’t the hosted players’ faults–it’s the fault of our sorry North American telecom infrastructure.

9. VoIP today is an infrastructure networking skill, no longer demanding the high pay of years past. Get a Cisco certification in voice and you might have some sort of earning premium, but with the slow-down, I doubt it.  Bottom line is, like ethernet and TCP/IP, if you don’t understand unified communications and you claim to be a network engineer, you’re screwed.

10. Cisco’s vision of unified communications sucks and they’ve foisted it upon the business world, scaring many SMBs away from VoIP altogether and elbowing open technologies like SIP out of the large business space.

(Or, ten folks whose blogs I should’ve post more comments on in 2008.)

10. Darla Mack.  If you’re a Nokia nut, there’s no better destination.  The self-proclaimed “mobile diva”, Darla tries just about everything with her Nokia phones.

9. Rich Tehrani. The brawn and brains of TMC, Rich has been in the industry as long as any of us, and his blog is a great mix of gadget news and insider industry info.

8. Alec Saunders.  Alec’s in the trenches daily as a VoIP visionary (he declared VoIP dead this morning) and application developer, so he’s usually weeks or months ahead of trends.

7. Om Malik and his band of creative cohorts. It’s pretty hard to ignore the guy that breaks just about every telecom industry rumor 24 hours before it turns into news.  Some of his underling’s stories are habitually wacky (obsessed with all this overstated carbon economy BS, for example), but generally,
Om’s is one of the best blogs around.

6. Ken Camp and Sheryl Breuker.  I’ve been in the Ken Camp camp for years now. Now that Sheryl’s on board with Mr. Camp, they’ve begun leading the way in a movement I expect will become the norm in 2009: VoIP people concentrating on social applications instead of VoIP.  That’s my plan anyway, so I’ll be keeping tabs on Ken and Sheryl.

5. Esme Vos.  No longer the lone female in my list (thanks to Darla and Sheryl), Esme is primarily known as a event/expo organizer who concentrates on municipal WiFi, having founded the MuniWireless expos. But she’s got something to say about software, Apple, Nokia, publishing, and a bunch of other stuff I care about.

4. Andy Abramson. A keen observer and predicter, and a new media relations specialist by day, Andy has more contacts than any two other people.

3. Phone Boy.  Dameon “Phone Boy” Welch-Abernathy: the only guy I know with a name longer than my own.  His blogging habit is better than mine, too.   He mainly blogs about gadgets, Nokia stuff, and social networking.

2. Jeff Pulver. Like Camp, Breuker, and others, Pulver is leading the retreat from VoIP charge to social media through video and social web applications.  I love reading Jeff’s blog. He posts a ton of photos and track logs.

1. Martin Geddes.  He doesn’t post often, but it’s always worth the read.  Also, this guy pulls no punches. Just as I aspire never to do, Martin Geddes never sets off the the bullshit detector.

The San Francisco Chronicle reports that Sony’s (embarrasingly non-innovative) Playstation-based virtual world, called Home, is experience more shrinking growing pains.  This time, the issue revolves around censorship. From the article:

The problem was that the words he was using – “gay,” “lesbian” and “bisexual” – were being filtered from text chats and were not being allowed in the naming of clubs or in postings in club forums. Marsh, who is straight but supports gay rights, said he raised the issue with Home community managers during the private beta test, but the problems persisted after the public beta introduction of Home on Dec. 11.

“I can understand if they’re filtering out profanity, but if feel like it’s discrimination,” Marsh said. “By blocking a word like ‘gay,’ which is a preferred term by the gay community, you’re encouraging it as a bad word.”

There are a couple of things that strike me here. First, if you live in the midwest and have junior high-aged kids, the word “gay” is indeed used, too frequently, as a derogatory expression.  If a teenager doesn’t like something he or she calls it gay.  It’s quite common.  I don’t know if it’s vulgar or not, but I don’t believe it’s censorship-worthy.  Second, lobbying the proprietors of a miserable, unpromising project like Playstation Home about gay rights is like picketing fifty miles from the nearest Wal-Mart: unlikely to have any effect, and completely out of place.

If you don’t like something in Home, there are plenty of other options to suit your social (and yes, sexual) preferences: like Second Life, Sims Online, the list goes on and on.  Heck, I’ve known (multiple) people whose marriages have been destroyed over affairs that started on World of Warcraft.  Bottom line, if Sony thinks it’s accomplishing something by banning the use of the word “gay”, they’re wrong.  And if a gay activist thinks he’s accomplishing something by complaining about it to Sony, he’s probably wrong too.

Interestingly, Sony has also opted to block the words “Christ” and “Jew”.  So I guess neither gays nor religious advocates will have much success setting up special interest groups.  The article goes on to say that because it’s early yet for Home, Sony can be forgiven.  I say take a cue from Linden Lab: Second Life is the wild wild west; nothing is off limits.  Kind of makes it more fun.

And I guess that’s the bottom line.  In our initial evaluation of Home, my girlfriend and I basically came to the conclusion that it wasn’t fun.   If Sony can solve THAT problem, all this other stuff would be worth talking about.

A follow-on to the white paper I wrote a few years ago (2004 or so), “Cisco Versus the World”, this piece attempts to explain why Cisco has risen to a seat of dominance in the UC telephony space, largely at Avaya’s expense, and what Avaya should do to remain a prominent player.

1. Cisco’s brand has a better reputation. The Cisco name means one thing: networking.  When your name is identified with your core competency more than any other name, it means you make good products, and have done so for a long time.  Avaya, on the other hand, has a name that is new since the late nineties or early 2000s, a name that was cooked up as a way of shaking the legacy image of Lucent/AT&T.  But, as the old saying goes, if you put crap in a pretty box with a bow, it’s still crap.   Of course we know that Avaya’s products aren’t crap, but, in hindsight, and setting aside trademark law for a moment, would it not have been better to stick with the name Lucent?

2. Cisco has a more qualified sales channel. Cisco’s resellers are data people, many of whom have also been supporting software applications for decades.  Avaya’s resellers are “phone guys”.  Two entirely different kinds of folks. Software people understand the needs of users.  Phone guys often don’t.  The reason is thus: software can be made to do whatever the user wants, however telephone systems, a la TDM, always had a rigid feature-set that didn’t evolve around innovative user ideas.  So Cisco resellers, having sold and supported software for a long time along Cisco’s gear, are often more experienced at tailoring solutions.

3. Cisco spends more on product placement than Avaya does on payroll.  OK, maybe not THAT much, but you get the picture. Everywhere you look, Cisco’s products are on the screen and in print.  If you were an alien from outer space watching American TV or movies for the first time, you would think that every phone in America was a Cisco 7970.

4. Cisco, with the Bells’ help, convinced the public that SIP is some kind of new, experimental, risky protocol. Of course, nothing could be less true.  But, since SIP holds the key to creating interoperability between all UC telephony platforms, Cisco has been in no hurry to hype it.  Not to mention all the licensing fees they’d be giving back if their customers began to abandon the Skinny protocol.  Avaya, now’s your chance.  Hype SIP’s scalability and global compatibility before Cisco grabs another 15% of your market share and converts those endpoints to SCCP.

5. Cisco has succeeded in defining the “standard features” of a VoIP phone setup. This despite the fact that those features aren’t all that different from a traditional TDM setup, and despite the fact that there are actually fewer features and less flexibility in CallManager than there is in Avaya’s solution.  Avaya, if you want to win this skirmish, open up your media server and let users create their own features–not by selling them expensive call-center add-ons (that would be Cisco’s approach), but by just including EVERY piece of call-center software in EVERY distribution.  You’ll be surprised how quickly customers flock to you.  Remember that you’re locking customers in to a 12 – 15 year platform investment.  If you GIVE them the flexibility and power that Cisco will only SELL them, they’ll come.

Working on a review of the Garmin Nuvi 880 automotive GPS that will be published very soon, I paired the GPS with my iPhone 3G via Bluetooth, expecting there to be zero interop between the two.  To my surprise, quite the opposite was true.  Not only did hands-free calling work perfectly, but the audio came through the Garmin loud and clear.  I think I’ve found the solution to my dissatisfaction with the iPhone’s speakerphone, which, by itself, is hardly louder than its earpiece.  Look for the review in an upcoming issue of Macworld magazine.

Well, it’s the time of year again.  Time to look back, and forward.

2008: the harbinger year for a revolution in the telecom industry?  No, not exactly.  Nor was 2008 the year of action of for end-to-end VoIP.  But 2008 was a good year for me.   I more or less quit consulting on VoIP, as the majority of clients who need help with VoIP are too small for my firm, and the top 5% of clients available in the field are too big for it.  The in-betweeners are dominated by a group of recruiters who beat each other up and submit VoIP candidates to internal employment positions I can’t be interested in.

Twitter was an interesting subject, retrospectively, in 2008.  On one hand it’s dying at the hands of Facebook. On the other hand, it’s got so much vigor and a following, too.  Twitter is one of those things that, even as an objectively expert witness on the subject of social media, I still struggle to grasp.  I wonder what the sex appeal is, minus all the fluff of a LinkedIn or a Facebook, of Twitter.

Sony launched a social network for the PS3.  The world essentially yawned, already beaten to death with the concept as previously implemented by things like Second Life, Sims Online, and World of Warcraft.  Now, if Nintendo had launched a social network along the lines of Animal Crossing–now that might be cool.

I received a pool table and air hockey table for Christmas and have nowhere to put either of them. At the moment my basement is full.  My son wants me to move the foozball table to the living room. A-hem. Kids take a while to develop decorating taste, I guess. Maybe in 2009.

Issue with Gizmo Project for Mac still not resolved.   But, hey, type in “mac gizmo damaged” and I’m the top hit.  Come on SIPPhone, get this one fixed.

Oliver Starr has a good read up today:  He’s tracked what appears to be more evidence that Apple has a handful of personal privacy concerns buzzing around its digital lifestyle ecosystem.  Apparently, the iPhone tells Apple a lot more than Oliver is comfortable with them knowing.  Check it out.

  • Viagra ordre
  • Cialis en ligne
  • Levitra en ligne
  • Propecia acheter
  • Viagra acheter
  • Acheter cialis
  • Ordre levitra
  • Ordre propecia
  • En ligne viagra
  • Vente cialis
  • Levitra bon marche
  • Propecia en ligne
  • Viagra online
  • Buy cialis
  • Order Levitra
  • Buy propecia
  • Buy viagra
  • Cheap cialis
  • Cheap Levitra
  • propecia online
  • Viagra prescription
  • Cialis online
  • Buy Levitra
  • Order propecia