iPhone as shown is just the start. Neither Jobs or Ives or the software guys are sitting still congratulating themselves and taking 6 month sabaticals. They know iPhone can be the MicroMac, for dedicated uses.

I feel certain Jobs and his engineers know full well that if they do not deliver MORE by June than we expect, that it will just fuel the fire of competitors evern more.

To that end, I think it is highly likely that after the iPhone reaches the market, that Apple will slowly certify 3rd party applications, to do specific things that are repetitive and useful, like the calendar they include, but not universal enough to prepackage with the iPhone.

Can you imagine an HP 15 emulator or similar for mortgage guys, a stock analysis application, a physician’s assistant program, drug interaction application, or anyone of a hundred other similar applications that users WOULD WANT.

Apple will have to let these applications come to market, or NOKIA, MOT, or SE will do it in their next generation products.

I do not fear Apple becoming complacent. They are not known for that.

Never hear of a spell-checker Camp? Have that little respect for your readers?

Touche on many of your points. I don’t think the iPhone is probably as bad as my first reaction. But I don’t think it’s a phone, I don’t think it’s disruptive (except to the high end iPod market that just all went on hold). I think it’s a glimpse of a future that Apple, Nokia, RIM, Palm and Microsoft are all going to wish they’d paid closer attention to. I don’t think any of them can deliver the real third generation device we all want. I think they’re all going to get their downs blown of by some unexpected source we aren’t thinking about.